A Corbyn victory is not only possible, it is our only hope

Let us be clear what the Tory welfare bill will mean.

If the parents of more than two children are precipitated into claiming benefits through a change in circumstances, like redundancy, a partner leaving them or being bereaved, then their children will suffer. If you are a women with, say 4 children, in a violent abusive relationship, you might be unable to leave and still feed your children. If you already have two children and get accidently pregnant, you may feel coerced into an unwanted abortion.

These are measures that are deeply, deeply wrong, and it is a moral requirement to oppose them.

What is more, concern about an equitable welfare system and social safety net has not historically been the preserve of only the left of the party, but also of the traditional right, of the revisionists, and even of the Blairites. It was Tony Blair himself who championed the reduction of child poverty.

So the twitterstorm outrage of opponents of Jeremy Corbyn about the 48 Labour rebels is ridiculous.

Let us point out that half of the rebels are newly elected, and are therefore MPs most recently connected with the real world outside the Westminster bubble.

In contrast, Liz Kendall – the only candidate to actually support voting for welfare cuts – got the lowest number of nominations from newly elected MPs, and her CLP nominations come overwhelmingly from safe or unwinnable seats – where activists are least attuned to swing voters. What sort of sense of entitlement inspires someone who has led such a disastrous campaign for the leadership, to think that any campaign they might wage towards a general election would be successful? What makes politicians who have had a career as special advisors, and working for Labour aligned think tanks or charities, believe that the years they have spent in meetings in Portcullis House makes them well suited to judge the mood of ordinary voters, struggling with precarious employment, unaffordable housing, and benefit cuts?

It was clear that there would be a rebellion as soon as Harriet Harman backed the Tory proposals, and was later pressurized into abstaining, but not opposing.

The responsibility of leadership is to manage the differences of opinion within the party. Instead Harman took a course of action that seems to have been calibrated to create division. The fault for the fiasco over the welfare bill lies squarely with Harman, and her supporters in the PLP.

Was this a miscalculated plot to adapt to an indefensible Tory policy, perhaps hoping to deter Corby supporters from joining Labour, or becoming supporters, and seeking to provoke a small rebellion, with the objective of showing Corbyn isolated? If that was the plan it has massively misfired.

Yesterday I spoke to three former Burnham supporters, two of them Swindon councilors, another the chair of a CLP, who have now switched to Corbyn.

The right wing in the Labour Party are desperate, when John McTernan, who presided as chief of staff of Jim Murphy’s utterly routed Labour Party in Scotland is wheeled out on Newsnight to give advice to Labour on how to win! (Let us remember that McTernan spoke at 2014 Conservative Party Conference fringe, where he gave advice to Cameron on how to beat Labour)

A Jeremy Corbyn victory is not only looking possible, but like it is our only hope.

15 comments on “A Corbyn victory is not only possible, it is our only hope

  1. robert p. williams on said:

    So these are the Labour MP’s who didn’t vote against it:
    Heidi Alexander
    Rushanara Ali
    Graham Allen
    Jon Ashworth
    Ian Austin
    Adrian Bailey
    Kevin Barron
    Margaret Beckett
    Hilary Benn
    Luciana Berger
    Clive Betts
    Roberta Blackman-Woods
    Tom Blenkinsop
    Paul Blomfield
    Ben Bradshaw
    Kevin Brennan
    Lyn Brown
    Nick Brown
    Chris Bryant
    Karen Buck
    Richard Burden
    Andy Burnham
    Liam Byrne
    Ruth Cadbury
    Alan Campbell
    Ronnie Campbell
    Sarah Champion
    Jenny Chapman
    Vernon Coaker
    Ann Coffey
    Julie Cooper
    Rosie Cooper
    Yvette Cooper
    Jo Cox
    Neil Coyle
    David Crausby
    Mary Creagh
    Stella Creasy
    Jon Cruddas
    John Cryer
    Judith Cummins
    Alex Cunningham
    Jim Cunningham
    Nicholas Dakin
    Simon Danczuk
    Wayne David
    Gloria De Piero
    Thangam Debbonaire
    Stephen Doughty
    Jim Dowd
    Jack Dromey
    Michael Dugher
    Angela Eagle
    Maria Eagle
    Clive Efford
    Julie Elliott
    Louise Ellman
    Natascha Engel
    Bill Esterson
    Chris Evans
    Paul Farrelly
    Frank Field
    Jim Fitzpatrick
    Rob Flello
    Colleen Fletcher
    Caroline Flint
    Yvonne Fovargue
    Vicky Foxcroft
    Mike Gapes
    Barry Gardiner
    Pat Glass
    Kate Green
    Lilian Greenwood
    Nia Griffith
    Andrew Gwynne
    Fabian Hamilton
    David Hanson
    Harriet Harman
    Harry Harpham
    Helen Hayes
    John Healey
    Mark Hendrick
    Stephen Hepburn
    Meg Hillier
    Margaret Hodge
    Sharon Hodgson
    Kate Hoey
    Kate Hollern
    George Howarth
    Lindsay Hoyle
    Tristram Hunt
    Rupa Huq
    Huw Irranca-Davies
    Dan Jarvis
    Alan Johnson
    Diana R. Johnson
    Graham Jones
    Kevan Jones
    Susan Elan Jones
    Mike Kane
    Barbara Keeley
    Liz Kendall
    Stephen Kinnock
    Peter Kyle
    Chris Leslie
    Emma Lewell-Buck
    Ivan Lewis
    Ian Lucas
    Fiona Mactaggart
    Justin Madders
    Khalid Mahmood
    Shabana Mahmood
    Seema Malhotra
    John Mann
    Gordon Marsden
    Chris Matheson
    Steve McCabe
    Kerry McCarthy
    Siobhain McDonagh
    Pat McFadden
    Conor McGinn
    Alison McGovern
    Catherine McKinnell
    Alan Meale
    Ed Miliband
    Jessica Morden
    Ian Murray
    Lisa Nandy
    Melanie Onn
    Chi Onwurah
    Albert Owen
    Matthew Pennycook
    Toby Perkins
    Jess Phillips
    Bridget Phillipson
    Steve Pound
    Lucy Powell
    Yasmin Qureshi
    Angela Rayner
    Jamie Reed
    Steve Reed
    Christina Rees
    Rachel Reeves
    Emma Reynolds
    Jonathan Reynolds
    Geoffrey Robinson
    Stephen Philip Rotheram
    Joan Ryan
    Naseem Shah
    Virendra Sharma
    Barry Sheerman
    Gavin Shuker
    Andrew Slaughter
    Ruth Smeeth
    Andrew Smith
    Angela Smith
    Jeff Smith
    Nick Smith
    Owen Smith
    Karin Smyth
    John Spellar
    Keir Starmer
    Wes Streeting
    Gisela Stuart
    Mark Tami
    Gareth Thomas
    Nick Thomas-Symonds
    Emily Thornberry
    Stephen Timms
    Jon Trickett
    Anna Turley
    Karl Turner
    Derek Twigg
    Stephen Twigg
    Chuka Umunna
    Keith Vaz
    Valerie Vaz
    Holly Walker-Lynch
    Tom Watson
    Catherine West
    Alan Whitehead
    Phil Wilson
    Rosie Winterton
    John Woodcock

  2. MikeW on said:

    Thoughtful stuff, apart from the hyperbole at the beginning and end. JC isn’t our only hope, he’s at the crest of a wave left wing sensibilities crossing the centre left. Even if this lands him on leadership beach, it is clear he will not be landing in a friendly environment. It will still be possible for rival tendencies in the party organisation to undermine him. As you say, he will have to manage the range of opinions, but first he’s got to get a handle on them.

    So the question I ask is what is there for us to do, should he win or should he lose, to keep that wave going.

  3. Pingback: A Corbyn victory is not only possible, it is our only hope | Left Futures

  4. Vanya on said:

    #1 Alex Cunningham states he was recovering from an operation. Don’t know how he would have voted. Angela Rayner states she was out of the country on parliamentary business and would have voted against.

  5. wayne muldoon on said:

    I spent yesterday evening listening to a leadership debate followed by a radio phone in. The overwhelming number of callers backed Jeremy Corbyn and for positive reasons. I have to say even i was astonished by the level of support Jeremy got and by the way he has motivated people in this campaign.
    When the right have to wheel out the chief war monger himself you know they are in trouble.
    If Labour can not or will not oppose the kind of welfare cuts proposed by the Tories then to even remain relevant a dramatic change of direction is required.
    Just a thought, could the support for Jeremy’s socialist case be, at least, partly because he has not had the years of media abuse & smears suffered by other big figures on the left, Benn, Livingstone, Galloway ect The public are hearing his argument with fresh ears rather than through a prism of prejudice inspired by our right wing media.

  6. Andy H on said:

    I wonder whether he is the right person for the job though. Quite rightly there has been a lot of focus on his views and policies, but a leader has to be more than that and I don’t see much evidence either way to suggest if he had the right personal qualities to lead the labour party successfully in opposition and then into a successful general election.

    The recent election disaster showed (amongst other things) that people need to believe that a leader is capable of governing, as well as having the right policies – I’m not convinced that he had shown much of that so far (still better than the others though).

  7. jim mclean on said:

    Andy H,

    As he does not want the job he is the perfect person for it, gives the Party some time for new blood to come forward and helps to make the final break with the those who have too much baggage.

  8. nattyfoc on said:

    robert p. williams:
    So these are the Labour MP’s who didn’t vote against it:
    Heidi Alexander
    Rushanara Ali
    Graham Allen
    Jon Ashworth
    Ian Austin
    Adrian Bailey
    Kevin Barron
    Margaret Beckett
    Hilary Benn
    Luciana Berger
    Clive Betts
    Roberta Blackman-Woods
    Tom Blenkinsop
    Paul Blomfield
    Ben Bradshaw
    Kevin Brennan
    Lyn Brown
    Nick Brown
    Chris Bryant
    Karen Buck
    Richard Burden
    Andy Burnham
    Liam Byrne
    Ruth Cadbury
    Alan Campbell
    Ronnie Campbell
    Sarah Champion
    Jenny Chapman
    Vernon Coaker
    Ann Coffey
    Julie Cooper
    Rosie Cooper
    Yvette Cooper
    Jo Cox
    Neil Coyle
    David Crausby
    Mary Creagh
    Stella Creasy
    Jon Cruddas
    John Cryer
    Judith Cummins
    Alex Cunningham
    Jim Cunningham
    Nicholas Dakin
    Simon Danczuk
    Wayne David
    Gloria De Piero
    Thangam Debbonaire
    Stephen Doughty
    Jim Dowd
    Jack Dromey
    Michael Dugher
    Angela Eagle
    Maria Eagle
    Clive Efford
    Julie Elliott
    Louise Ellman
    Natascha Engel
    Bill Esterson
    Chris Evans
    Paul Farrelly
    Frank Field
    Jim Fitzpatrick
    Rob Flello
    Colleen Fletcher
    Caroline Flint
    Yvonne Fovargue
    Vicky Foxcroft
    Mike Gapes
    Barry Gardiner
    Pat Glass
    Kate Green
    Lilian Greenwood
    Nia Griffith
    Andrew Gwynne
    Fabian Hamilton
    David Hanson
    Harriet Harman
    Harry Harpham
    Helen Hayes
    John Healey
    Mark Hendrick
    Stephen Hepburn
    Meg Hillier
    Margaret Hodge
    Sharon Hodgson
    Kate Hoey
    Kate Hollern
    George Howarth
    Lindsay Hoyle
    Tristram Hunt
    Rupa Huq
    Huw Irranca-Davies
    Dan Jarvis
    Alan Johnson
    Diana R. Johnson
    Graham Jones
    Kevan Jones
    Susan Elan Jones
    Mike Kane
    Barbara Keeley
    Liz Kendall
    Stephen Kinnock
    Peter Kyle
    Chris Leslie
    Emma Lewell-Buck
    Ivan Lewis
    Ian Lucas
    Fiona Mactaggart
    Justin Madders
    Khalid Mahmood
    Shabana Mahmood
    Seema Malhotra
    John Mann
    Gordon Marsden
    Chris Matheson
    Steve McCabe
    Kerry McCarthy
    Siobhain McDonagh
    Pat McFadden
    Conor McGinn
    Alison McGovern
    Catherine McKinnell
    Alan Meale
    Ed Miliband
    Jessica Morden
    Ian Murray
    Lisa Nandy
    Melanie Onn
    Chi Onwurah
    Albert Owen
    Matthew Pennycook
    Toby Perkins
    Jess Phillips
    Bridget Phillipson
    Steve Pound
    Lucy Powell
    Yasmin Qureshi
    Angela Rayner
    Jamie Reed
    Steve Reed
    Christina Rees
    Rachel Reeves
    Emma Reynolds
    Jonathan Reynolds
    Geoffrey Robinson
    Stephen Philip Rotheram
    Joan Ryan
    Naseem Shah
    Virendra Sharma
    Barry Sheerman
    Gavin Shuker
    Andrew Slaughter
    Ruth Smeeth
    Andrew Smith
    Angela Smith
    Jeff Smith
    Nick Smith
    Owen Smith
    Karin Smyth
    John Spellar
    Keir Starmer
    Wes Streeting
    Gisela Stuart
    Mark Tami
    Gareth Thomas
    Nick Thomas-Symonds
    Emily Thornberry
    Stephen Timms
    Jon Trickett
    Anna Turley
    Karl Turner
    Derek Twigg
    Stephen Twigg
    Chuka Umunna
    Keith Vaz
    Valerie Vaz
    Holly Walker-Lynch
    Tom Watson
    Catherine West
    Alan Whitehead
    Phil Wilson
    Rosie Winterton
    John Woodcock

    Theres a word for that lot ****s

    Anyway as at the Hampstead and kilburn GC last night at there was an interesting debate re the leadership battle where the right wing got their assses kicked, as is usual in this GC The debate was of high quality focusing on your candidates qualitys rather than attacking the others the final score after the exhaustive ballot procedure was

    COOPER 37
    CORBYN 36
    KENDALL 11
    BURNHAM 7

    Given other meetings in the area re some planning issues that was a good turn out and without the other meetings Corbyn would have won ………………the big surprise to me was Burnham bottoming out !

  9. nattyfoc on said:

    I was at the Hampstead and Kilburn GC meeting last night it was an interesting good quality debate which unfortunately clashed with a couple of local planning issue meets

    final result was

    cooper 37votes
    CORBYN 36 VOTES
    KENDALL 11 VOTES
    BURNHAM 7 VOTES

    I think Corbyn will win

    appologies for putting that up twice COMPUTERS GRRRRR

  10. Leeds mick on said:

    Fabian Hamilton was having an operation on his hand and posted a Facebook message saying he would have voted against .

  11. nattyfoc on said:

    Unison come out for Corbyn its looking good to me !

    The GMB nationally decline to support any candidate, despite Southern Region declaring for Corbyn.

    Knighthood anyone lol

  12. nattyfoc,

    I wouldn’t read too much into GMB failing to endorse any candidate. There is an argument that given the slow take up of associate supporter status, the union has limited mandate

  13. nattyfoc on said:

    Andy Newman:
    nattyfoc,

    I wouldn’t read too much into GMB failing to endorse any candidate.There is an argument that given the slow take up of associate supporter status, the union has limited mandate

    Thats just a cop out where i come from you stand for your principles and theres no doubt that those members of the GMB that are politically active [barring the MBE OBE and Sirs grovellers lickspittles ]want Jeremy as leader as you well know !